A civil war is a war between
organized groups within the same state (or country). The aim of one side may be
to take control of the country or a region, to achieve independence for a
region, or to change government policies
James Fearon, a scholar of civil
wars at Stanford University, defines a civil war as "a violent conflict
within a country fought by organized groups that aim to take power at the
center or in a region, or to change government policies".
If you prefer, you can call it the Third American
Revolution:
In political science, a revolution (Latin: revolutio,
'a turn around') is a rapid, fundamental transformation of a society's class,
state, ethnic or religious structures.
Really, what is happening right now is both: a war between
conflicting organized groups, and a war to rapidly transform society’s state
structures. It is not yet meaningfully
violent, although violence has been employed, until now exclusively by the
entrenched side.
Whatever you call it, we are at war. We know 1776.
We know 1861. It is clear now
that we are in the middle of a third one.
Just as in the first several years of the earlier two, it is too early
to tell which side will win.
The first real trigger was likely the regime’s reaction to
the 2008 financial crisis. By far,
popular support was against any bailout of financial institutions – let the
chips fall where they may. I still
remember the time TARP first came up for a vote: from memory, something like
90% plus of contacts from the public to congress expressed the desire to vote
no – which happened the first time the vote came up.
Maria Bartiromo, on CNBC at the time, scream into the
camera, “COME ON, PEOPLE!” apparently, you
have to be dumb to not want to give billionaires more billions. Well, congress kept voting until they got it “right.” The Tea Party was born from this and from Ron
Paul’s run for president that same year.
Both the Tea Party and Ron Paul’s run were hijacked.
Then came the Obama years – relatively quiet domestically,
but clearly steps were put in place to transform America even further to the
left. However, anytime someone spoke up
about it, they were labeled racist, etc.
So, instead of speaking, they voted in Trump. Out of twenty or so republican candidates for
president in 2016, he survived. He survived
because he was the only one who fundamentally spoke against the regime and for
the people (Rand Paul a little, but he couldn’t match Trump’s personality).
The deplorables voted Trump into office. While he spoke in revolutionary terms, he was
nowhere near prepared enough to act on his words. We all remember; we kept asking ourselves: is
he playing four-D chess? What’s going
on? When will he turn over the winning
card? It never happened.
In fact, he gave us Operation Warp Speed.
Meanwhile, the other side planned and schemed. Biden was voted in, the most popular
president ever. More votes than
ever. Magical midnight reversals,
truckloads of ballots, etc. Thousands
went to prison because they thought something was fishy about the outcome and
they wanted to make their concerns known.
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Trump won the election in 2024. Admit it, you thought that this would never
happen. I thought it would never
happen. They tried suing him, convicting
him, putting him in prison, killing him.
None of it worked. The opponents didn’t
even try to steal the election – or, if they did, they were unable to do so.
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Something was different this time. There was little talk coming out of the Trump
team between election night and his inauguration. Sure, we heard the words: DOGE, end the wars
(but not the slaughter in Gaza), nominees including RFK, Jr., Gabbard, Hegseth,
Patel. No, not saints, but a sea change
from what I have seen in my lifetime.