Alan Blinder has written an editorial pressing the Fed to
reduce or eliminate the rate it pays banks for holding excess reserves. He believes if the Fed does this, banks will
lend or otherwise invest in capital markets with the subsequent result that the
economy will begin to grow again.
The Daily Bell has written commentary regarding this
editorial. Quoted items below are from
The Daily Bell’s commentary:
Well known Princeton University
academic and Keynesian economist Alan Blinder has written an article posted by
the Wall Street Journal that urges Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to
stop paying banks so much money in interest on funds that the banks hold in
reserve.
Of course, it does not help that
the Fed is paying the banks fairly large amounts of interest on funds they have
not lent. Very strange! Bernanke is determined to re-circulate money and has
launched numerous "programs" to do so. But the biggest thing he could
do would be to pay less interest on static funds.
The banks are being paid 0.25% for these excess reserves. This
does not seem significant enough of a payment to cause the banks to hold
reserves (as opposed to lend) unless there were other issues driving these
decisions. The Daily Bell cites one
possibility:
Now, this still might not work. If
there is nobody to lend to, then money will not circulate.
Certainly one reason that banks are not lending is because
they find few credit-worthy borrowers. This
could very well be the primary reason. Yet
it doesn’t answer the question of why the structure is currently in place:
The Fed has greatly increased its balance sheet, with a good
portion of the increase being held by banks (and not lent out) as excess
reserves. Why increase the Fed balance
sheet only to have the banks hold the funds?
Why not limit the Fed balance sheet increase and not have any excess
reserves at all? Wouldn’t this keep the
Fed in a somewhat more credible light, with a balance sheet not nearly as
bloated as is now the case?
One begins to have the notion that
either Bernanke does not want to ameliorate this endless recession/depression
or he is determined to make the money flow in certain directions. His current
policies have certainly enriched the "monied" class at the expense of
the middle class.
That the monied class prospers by actions of the Fed is a
given, and would be true with or without this payment of interest on excess
reserves. As to the banks, one outcome
is that the banks are able to use the 0.25% to recapitalize at zero risk. However,
they could earn more if they just bought Treasuries. Why not do this?
Not reducing the amount of money
that is being paid to banks for holding funds also is a most puzzling policy
and one that Blinder rightly questions. Those of a suspicious caste of mind
might well conclude from all of this that Bernanke has considerations he's not
voicing.
I believe the reason the excess reserves exist are because
the banks need the liquidity. The other assets
held on the books of the banks are not paying returns commensurate to the risks
and are held at values above market for reasons of hiding bank insolvency. In other words, the excess reserves are not
excess. This is one of the main
considerations Bernanke is not voicing.
Another is the aforementioned need to recapitalize the
banks. This policy of paying interest on
excess reserves is one tool of many being deployed to quietly achieve this
objective.
Finally, Bernanke does not want significant price inflation. He has devised a method to keep the banks
liquid while avoiding getting beat about the head for causing price inflation.
It is not far-fetched to believe
that Bernanke also has reasons to extend and even deepen the financial crisis
he is supposedly working hard to alleviate. The easiest explanation is that the
power elite itself, for whom Bernanke evidently and obviously works for, wishes
to extend the crisis despite Bernanke's statements to the contrary.
This comment seems to imply that Fed-induced lending (and
the subsequent inflation) is enough to alleviate the financial crisis. As I know The Daily Bell does not believe
such things, I am left to wonder the point of this suggestion.
Conclusion: The order they seek is
world government. The methodology is to make people miserable, or worse.
Bernanke's behavior is aligned with this sort of strategy, or seems to be. What
are we missing?
Again, is DB suggesting that Bernanke can alleviate the
crisis if he just chose different policies?
Policies of lending?
The banks could buy short term Treasuries and earn more
interest than the 0.25% now afforded to them by the Fed. This would save the Fed the embarrassment of
being the largest buyer and holder of US Treasury debt. Why don’t the banks do this? Why doesn’t Bernanke force this? A minimal 0.25% payment is not enough to
cause the banks to walk away from equally risk-free Treasury income, at a
higher coupon.
The banks don’t lend because they don’t actually have excess
reserves. They are excess on the falsely
inflated balance sheets, but not excess to the true liquidity and solvency
situation. The balance sheet can lie; cash flow doesn’t. I don’t
believe the situation is more complex than this.
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