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Two weeks to flatten the curve….
Brilliant scientists expected 100,000,000 cases accruing within 4 weeks in the USA (Hains, 2020). …However, as of June 18 [2020], the total fatalities are ∼450,000 with median age ∼80 and typically multiple comorbidities.
- Forecasting for COVID-19 has failed, John P.A. Ioannidis, Sally Cripps, and Martin A. Tanner; published at US National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health
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Deuteronomy 18: 20 But the prophet, which shall presume to speak a word in my name, which I have not commanded him to speak, or that shall speak in the name of other gods, even that prophet shall die.
21 And if thou say in thine heart, How shall we know the word which the Lord hath not spoken?
22 When a prophet speaketh in the name of the Lord, if the thing follow not, nor come to pass, that is the thing which the Lord hath not spoken, but the prophet hath spoken it presumptuously: thou shalt not be afraid of him.
The last eighteen months has seen a multitude of false prophets, some speaking in the name of God, many speaking in the names of other gods. God offers that the fate of both is the same: the prophet that speaks presumptuously, that is without God’s authority, shall die.
The one who speaks prophecies that do not come to pass, whether spoken in God’s name or in the name of other gods, that prophet shall die.
Further, we are not to be afraid of that prophet.
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Predictions for hospital and ICU bed requirements were also entirely misinforming. Public leaders trusted models (sometimes even black boxes without disclosed methodology) inferring massively overwhelmed health care capacity (Table 1) (IHME COVID-19 health service utilization forecasting team & Murray, 2020). However, very few hospitals were eventually stressed and only for a couple of weeks. Most hospitals maintained largely empty wards, expecting tsunamis that never came.
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1 John 4: 4 Beloved, believe not every spirit, but try the spirits whether they are of God: because many false prophets are gone out into the world.
We have been inundated by these false prophets, in a seemingly never-ending series of doom and cataclysm. And it never gets better, even with hints of positive news, even with evidence of wildly exaggerated risks.
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Matthew 7: 15 Beware of false prophets, which come to you in sheep's clothing, but inwardly they are ravening wolves. 16 (a) Ye shall know them by their fruits.
The fruits of a true prophet would be accurate prophecies; the fruits of a false prophet would be failed prophecies.
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The prophecy:
To stave off a catastrophe, New York might need up to 140,000 hospital beds and as many as 40,000 intensive care units with ventilators.
The reality:
But the number of intensive care beds being used declined for the first time in the crisis, to 4,908, according to daily figures released on Friday. And the total number hospitalized with the virus, 18,569, was far lower than the darkest expectations.
The prophecy:
Last Friday, the model suggested Tennessee would see the peak of the pandemic on about April 19 and would need an estimated 15,500 inpatient beds, 2,500 ICU beds and nearly 2,000 ventilators to keep COVID-19 patients alive.
The reality:
Now, it is projecting the peak to come four days earlier and that the state will need 1,232 inpatients beds, 245 ICU beds and 208 ventilators. Those numbers are all well below the state’s current health care capacity.
The prophecy:
Results indicate that lifting restrictions too soon can result in a second wave of infections and deaths. Georgia is planning to open some businesses on April 27th. The tool shows that COVID-19 is not yet contained in Georgia and even lifting restrictions gradually over the next month can result in over 23,000 deaths.
The reality:
Number of deaths over one month: 896 instead of the predicted 23,000.
The prophecy:
According to the Penn Wharton Budget Model (PWBM), reopening states will result in an additional 233,000 deaths from the virus — even if states don’t reopen at all and with social distancing rules in place. This means that if the states were to reopen, 350,000 people in total would die from coronavirus by the end of June, the study found.
The reality:
Based on JHU dashboard death count, number of additional deaths as of June 30 was 5,700 instead of 233,000, i.e. total deaths was 122,700 instead of 350,000. It is unclear also whether any of the 5,700 deaths were due to reopening rather than error in the original model calibration of the number of deaths without reopening.
I could go on like this for hours.
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Jeremiah 23: 16 Thus saith the Lord of hosts, Hearken not unto the words of the prophets that prophesy unto you: they make you vain: they speak a vision of their own heart, and not out of the mouth of the Lord.
And what of those who have prophesied salvation?
Last week [May 2021], the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) changed their guidance on face masks, saying that fully vaccinated people no longer need them in most places.
When You’ve Been Fully Vaccinated: To maximize protection from the Delta variant and prevent possibly spreading it to others, wear a mask indoors in public if you are in an area of substantial or high transmission.
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Conclusion
Revelation 20: 10 And the devil that deceived them was cast into the lake of fire and brimstone, where the beast and the false prophet are, and shall be tormented day and night for ever and ever.
Amen.
2 Peter 2: 3 and in their greed they will exploit you with false words; their judgment from long ago is not idle, and their destruction is not asleep. [NASB works better for this]
For the words of the profits,
Are written on the studio wall,
Concert hall –
Echoes with the sounds…
Of salesmen.
The Spirit of Radio, Rush
The false prophet is a salesman. The question is: what is he selling? For whom does he toil?
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